{
  "schema_version": "v2",
  "article": "article_049_us_elections",
  "title": "US 2028 presidential election: Jupiter Scorpio neutral, no Jupiter–Saturn disruption",
  "framework": "Jupiter–Saturn 20-year conjunction cycle: 8 of 8 elections since 1840 within ±8 months of conjunction produced disruption (incumbent loss, contested result, third-party impact, or assassination). Jupiter sign cycle: Jupiter exalted/own (Cancer/Sagittarius/Pisces) yields 79% incumbent-party win; Jupiter detriment/fall (Capricorn/Gemini/Virgo) yields 43%. November 2028 has Jupiter in Scorpio — neutral. No Jupiter–Saturn aspect within ±8 months. The next conjunction-disruption election is 2040.",
  "published_at": "2026-04-15",
  "generated_at": "2026-04-27T11:42:04.755Z",
  "generator": "tools/build_v2_receipts.js",
  "central_call": "The November 2028 US presidential election will NOT exhibit the structural-disruption signature (incumbent-party loss + electoral-college contestation + protracted post-election crisis) that the 2020 election did. Probability of incumbent-party-of-the-day retention is structurally elevated vs 2020. The next high-disruption-probability US election is November 2040 (Jupiter–Saturn conjunction window).",
  "call_definition": "The November 2028 US presidential election will NOT exhibit the structural-disruption signature (incumbent-party loss + electoral-college contestation + protracted post-election crisis) that the 2020 election did. Probability of incumbent-party-of-the-day retention is structurally elevated vs 2020. The next high-disruption-probability US election is November 2040 (Jupiter–Saturn conjunction window).",
  "windows": null,
  "horizon_start": "2028-11-01",
  "horizon_end": "2029-01-31",
  "lookback_basis": "All US presidential elections 1840–2024 mapped against Jupiter–Saturn synodic cycle. 8 of 8 elections within ±8 months of conjunction (1840, 1860, 1880, 1900, 1920, 1940, 1960, 1980, 2000, 2020 — all 10 conjunction-elections in fact, all 10 produced disruption). Jupiter sign cycle on 22 elections post-1900: exalted/own n=14, incumbent-party win 79%; detriment/fall n=8, incumbent-party win 43%.",
  "falsifier": "If the 2028 US presidential election produces ALL of: (i) incumbent-party loss, (ii) electoral-college result contested in courts past December 2028, (iii) protracted transition crisis past 20 January 2029, the structural-disruption call fails (i.e. 2028 will have looked exactly like 2020). Reconciliation pulls FEC-certified state results.",
  "vedic_chart_data": {
    "entities": {
      "USA 1776": {
        "birth_data": {
          "date": "1776-07-04",
          "time": "17:10",
          "lat": 39.9526,
          "lon": -75.1652,
          "tz": -5,
          "note": "Sibly chart — Declaration of Independence, Philadelphia, 17:10 LMT (most cited mundane chart for USA)."
        },
        "ayanamsha": "Lahiri/True Pushya",
        "rashi_d1": {
          "ascendant": {
            "degree": 22.61,
            "nakshatra": "Jyeshtha",
            "pada": 2,
            "sign": "Scorpio"
          },
          "positions": {
            "Jupiter": {
              "sign": "Gemini",
              "degree": 16.33,
              "nakshatra": "Ardra",
              "pada": 3,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 8,
              "longitude": 76.331
            },
            "Ketu": {
              "sign": "Capricorn",
              "degree": 17.99,
              "nakshatra": "Shravana",
              "pada": 3,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 3,
              "longitude": 287.99
            },
            "Mars": {
              "sign": "Gemini",
              "degree": 1.77,
              "nakshatra": "Mrigashira",
              "pada": 3,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 8,
              "longitude": 61.773
            },
            "Mercury": {
              "sign": "Cancer",
              "degree": 4.6,
              "nakshatra": "Pushya",
              "pada": 1,
              "retrograde": true,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 9,
              "longitude": 94.595
            },
            "Moon": {
              "sign": "Aquarius",
              "degree": 7.56,
              "nakshatra": "Shatabhisha",
              "pada": 1,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 4,
              "longitude": 307.563
            },
            "Rahu": {
              "sign": "Cancer",
              "degree": 17.99,
              "nakshatra": "Ashlesha",
              "pada": 1,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 9,
              "longitude": 107.99
            },
            "Saturn": {
              "sign": "Virgo",
              "degree": 25.2,
              "nakshatra": "Chitra",
              "pada": 1,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 11,
              "longitude": 175.203
            },
            "Sun": {
              "sign": "Gemini",
              "degree": 23.72,
              "nakshatra": "Punarvasu",
              "pada": 2,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 8,
              "longitude": 83.72
            },
            "Venus": {
              "sign": "Gemini",
              "degree": 13.5,
              "nakshatra": "Ardra",
              "pada": 3,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 8,
              "longitude": 73.502
            }
          }
        },
        "vargas": {
          "D2_hora": {
            "Jupiter": "Cancer",
            "Ketu": "Leo",
            "Mars": "Leo",
            "Mercury": "Cancer",
            "Moon": "Leo",
            "Rahu": "Leo",
            "Saturn": "Leo",
            "Sun": "Cancer",
            "Venus": "Leo"
          },
          "D7_saptamsa": {
            "Jupiter": "Virgo",
            "Ketu": "Scorpio",
            "Mars": "Gemini",
            "Mercury": "Aquarius",
            "Moon": "Pisces",
            "Rahu": "Taurus",
            "Saturn": "Leo",
            "Sun": "Scorpio",
            "Venus": "Virgo"
          },
          "D9_navamsa": {
            "Jupiter": "Aquarius",
            "Ketu": "Gemini",
            "Mars": "Libra",
            "Mercury": "Leo",
            "Moon": "Sagittarius",
            "Rahu": "Sagittarius",
            "Saturn": "Leo",
            "Sun": "Taurus",
            "Venus": "Aquarius"
          },
          "D10_dasamsa": {
            "Jupiter": "Scorpio",
            "Ketu": "Aquarius",
            "Mars": "Gemini",
            "Mercury": "Aries",
            "Moon": "Aries",
            "Rahu": "Leo",
            "Saturn": "Capricorn",
            "Sun": "Capricorn",
            "Venus": "Libra"
          },
          "D60_shashtiamsa": {
            "Jupiter": "Aquarius",
            "Ketu": "Sagittarius",
            "Mars": "Virgo",
            "Mercury": "Aries",
            "Moon": "Taurus",
            "Rahu": "Gemini",
            "Saturn": "Scorpio",
            "Sun": "Taurus",
            "Venus": "Virgo"
          }
        },
        "active_dasha_at_call": {
          "mahadasha": null,
          "antardasha": null,
          "pratyantara": null
        },
        "key_conjunctions": [
          {
            "planets": [
              "Jupiter",
              "Sun"
            ],
            "sign": "Gemini",
            "orb_degrees": 7.39
          },
          {
            "planets": [
              "Jupiter",
              "Venus"
            ],
            "sign": "Gemini",
            "orb_degrees": 2.83
          }
        ],
        "key_aspects": [
          {
            "from": "Jupiter",
            "from_house": 8,
            "aspect": "5th",
            "target_house": 12,
            "target_sign": "Libra"
          },
          {
            "from": "Jupiter",
            "from_house": 8,
            "aspect": "7th",
            "target_house": 2,
            "target_sign": "Sagittarius"
          },
          {
            "from": "Jupiter",
            "from_house": 8,
            "aspect": "9th",
            "target_house": 4,
            "target_sign": "Aquarius"
          },
          {
            "from": "Ketu",
            "from_house": 3,
            "aspect": "5th",
            "target_house": 7,
            "target_sign": "Taurus"
          },
          {
            "from": "Ketu",
            "from_house": 3,
            "aspect": "7th",
            "target_house": 9,
            "target_sign": "Cancer"
          },
          {
            "from": "Ketu",
            "from_house": 3,
            "aspect": "9th",
            "target_house": 11,
            "target_sign": "Virgo"
          },
          {
            "from": "Mars",
            "from_house": 8,
            "aspect": "4th",
            "target_house": 11,
            "target_sign": "Virgo"
          },
          {
            "from": "Mars",
            "from_house": 8,
            "aspect": "7th",
            "target_house": 2,
            "target_sign": "Sagittarius"
          },
          {
            "from": "Mars",
            "from_house": 8,
            "aspect": "8th",
            "target_house": 3,
            "target_sign": "Capricorn"
          },
          {
            "from": "Mercury",
            "from_house": 9,
            "aspect": "7th",
            "target_house": 3,
            "target_sign": "Capricorn"
          },
          {
            "from": "Moon",
            "from_house": 4,
            "aspect": "7th",
            "target_house": 10,
            "target_sign": "Leo"
          },
          {
            "from": "Rahu",
            "from_house": 9,
            "aspect": "5th",
            "target_house": 1,
            "target_sign": "Scorpio"
          },
          {
            "from": "Rahu",
            "from_house": 9,
            "aspect": "7th",
            "target_house": 3,
            "target_sign": "Capricorn"
          },
          {
            "from": "Rahu",
            "from_house": 9,
            "aspect": "9th",
            "target_house": 5,
            "target_sign": "Pisces"
          },
          {
            "from": "Saturn",
            "from_house": 11,
            "aspect": "3th",
            "target_house": 1,
            "target_sign": "Scorpio"
          },
          {
            "from": "Saturn",
            "from_house": 11,
            "aspect": "7th",
            "target_house": 5,
            "target_sign": "Pisces"
          },
          {
            "from": "Saturn",
            "from_house": 11,
            "aspect": "10th",
            "target_house": 8,
            "target_sign": "Gemini"
          },
          {
            "from": "Sun",
            "from_house": 8,
            "aspect": "7th",
            "target_house": 2,
            "target_sign": "Sagittarius"
          },
          {
            "from": "Venus",
            "from_house": 8,
            "aspect": "7th",
            "target_house": 2,
            "target_sign": "Sagittarius"
          }
        ]
      }
    }
  },
  "transit_window_snapshots": null,
  "result": null,
  "reconciled_at": null,
  "reconciliation_notes": null
}