{
 "schema_version": "v2",
 "article": "findings_dxy_august_2026_close",
 "title": "DXY August 2026: the dollar index closes below 102",
 "framework": "Dollar-index threshold franchise, second instance. One prior graded instance, MET: the ICE US Dollar Index closed 99.80 on Friday 31 July 2026 against the same 102.00 threshold. One instance is not a base rate and the article says so. Chart-side tilt: transit Jupiter exalted in Cancer occupies the 9th house from the US 1776 Scorpio 22.77 lagna across August, the same configuration the July call used, which is what makes this a franchise rather than a fresh claim. Structural tier, no lift claimed.",
 "published_at": "2026-08-07",
 "call": {
  "ref": "DXYAUG2026",
  "claim": "ICE US Dollar Index DXY end-of-day close on the final trading day of August 2026 lands below 102.00",
  "threshold": 102.0,
  "window_start": "2026-08-07",
  "window_end": "2026-08-31",
  "falsifier": "any DXY close at or above 102.00 on the final August 2026 trading day fires FAILED",
  "probability": 0.65,
  "base_rate": null,
  "register": "headline",
  "reconcile_by": "2026-09-02",
  "reference": "ICE US Dollar Index end-of-day closing print, final trading day of August 2026",
  "honesty_note": "The index closed 2.2 points below the line on 31 July, so the call asks whether a 2.2-point move happens inside a month. The probability is stated from that distance rather than from confidence in the mechanism."
 },
 "status": "met",
 "reconciled_at": "2026-09-11",
 "result": "MET. The ICE US Dollar Index closed 31 August 2026 at 99.430, below the 102.00 test level. The final week of August traded 98.92 to 99.70, so the outcome was not near the line.",
 "reconciliation_notes": "Second consecutive month met on this instrument after the 31 July close of 99.80."
}