{
  "schema_version": "v2",
  "article": "findings_russia_ukraine_q3_2027",
  "title": "Russia-Ukraine resolution window: Q3 2027 timing",
  "framework": "Russia 1991 chart scored against Saturn-Pisces-aspect-natal-Saturn, Jupiter-ingress-over-natal-Mercury-sign and Rahu-approach-to-natal-Rahu between 1 August 2027 and 15 October 2027. The window is the unique 2027 stretch where (i) Saturn aspects to natal Saturn tighten, (ii) Jupiter has just changed sign over a load-bearing natal point, and (iii) Rahu is in approach but not yet in escalation orb. Extends the 044 peace window (closing March 2027) and brackets the published Russia February 2028 escalation peak. Three twentieth-century resolution-shaped precedents (Korea 1953, First Chechen 1996, Iran-Iraq 1988) shape the framework's read.",
  "published_at": "2026-05-09",
  "generated_at": "2026-05-09T06:36:10.399589+00:00",
  "generator": "tools/build_v2_receipts.js (adapted to findings/* via .tmp/build_v2_receipts_findings.py)",
  "central_call": "A resolution-shaped window between 1 August 2027 and 15 October 2027 on the Russia 1991 chart. Wrong if no written ceasefire, no documented territorial settlement and no head-of-state-level leadership change in Moscow or Kyiv occurs inside the window.",
  "call_definition": "Wrong if none of these three conditions is met between 1 August 2027 and 15 October 2027 inclusive: (1) written ceasefire or armistice signed by both Moscow and Kyiv at state level and registered with UN/OSCE/ICRC; (2) documented territorial settlement registered with UN or signed by both governments addressing border or sovereignty status of contested territory in writing; (3) head-of-state-level leadership change in either Moscow or Kyiv (resignation, removal, incapacitation or replacement of sitting president). Continued active hostilities through 16 October 2027 with no signed document and no leadership change is the unambiguous failure condition.",
  "horizon_start": "2027-08-01",
  "horizon_end": "2027-10-15",
  "lookback_basis": "Three twentieth-century resolution-shaped precedents: Korean War armistice July 1953 (Saturn-supportive band on USA 1776 chart with Jupiter document-aspect to negotiating axis); First Chechen War ceasefire August 1996 (Saturn-Saturn approach band on Russia 1991 chart, broadly comparable to Q3 2027); Iran-Iraq ceasefire August 1988 (Jupiter-aspect-treaty-axis on Iran founding chart). Three of the four 044 precedents fired within plus or minus 18 months of the Saturn signature; one did not. The same proportion is the working prior on Q3 2027.",
  "falsifier": "Wrong if none of these three conditions is met between 1 August 2027 and 15 October 2027 inclusive: (1) written ceasefire or armistice signed by both Moscow and Kyiv at state level and registered with UN/OSCE/ICRC; (2) documented territorial settlement registered with UN or signed by both governments addressing border or sovereignty status of contested territory in writing; (3) head-of-state-level leadership change in either Moscow or Kyiv (resignation, removal, incapacitation or replacement of sitting president). If none of these by 23:59 UTC 15 October 2027, the call fails. Continued active hostilities through 16 October 2027 with no signed document and no leadership change is the unambiguous failure condition.",
  "vedic_chart_data": {
    "entities": {
      "Russia 1991": {
        "birth_data": {
          "date": "1991-06-12",
          "time": "12:45",
          "lat": 55.7558,
          "lon": 37.6173,
          "tz": 3.0,
          "note": "Russian Federation declaration of state sovereignty / first Yeltsin election day proclamation, Moscow."
        },
        "ayanamsha": "True Pushya Paksha (PVRN Rao)",
        "rashi_d1": {
          "ascendant": {
            "sign": "Virgo",
            "degree": 3.46,
            "nakshatra": "Uttara Phalguni",
            "pada": 3
          },
          "positions": {
            "Sun": {
              "sign": "Taurus",
              "degree": 28.34,
              "nakshatra": "Mrigashira",
              "pada": 2,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 9,
              "longitude": 58.34
            },
            "Moon": {
              "sign": "Taurus",
              "degree": 26.95,
              "nakshatra": "Mrigashira",
              "pada": 2,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 9,
              "longitude": 56.95
            },
            "Mars": {
              "sign": "Cancer",
              "degree": 17.36,
              "nakshatra": "Ashlesha",
              "pada": 1,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 11,
              "longitude": 107.362
            },
            "Mercury": {
              "sign": "Taurus",
              "degree": 22.45,
              "nakshatra": "Rohini",
              "pada": 4,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 9,
              "longitude": 52.447
            },
            "Jupiter": {
              "sign": "Cancer",
              "degree": 18.29,
              "nakshatra": "Ashlesha",
              "pada": 1,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 11,
              "longitude": 108.293
            },
            "Venus": {
              "sign": "Cancer",
              "degree": 13.68,
              "nakshatra": "Pushya",
              "pada": 4,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 11,
              "longitude": 103.679
            },
            "Saturn": {
              "sign": "Capricorn",
              "degree": 13.69,
              "nakshatra": "Shravana",
              "pada": 2,
              "retrograde": true,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 5,
              "longitude": 283.693
            },
            "Rahu": {
              "sign": "Sagittarius",
              "degree": 27.93,
              "nakshatra": "Uttara Ashadha",
              "pada": 1,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 4,
              "longitude": 267.93
            },
            "Ketu": {
              "sign": "Gemini",
              "degree": 27.93,
              "nakshatra": "Punarvasu",
              "pada": 3,
              "retrograde": false,
              "combust": null,
              "house": 10,
              "longitude": 87.93
            }
          }
        },
        "_engine": {
          "module": "engine/ephemeris.py",
          "function": "compute_chart",
          "ayanamsha_name": 22.6045,
          "ayanamsha_value": 22.6045,
          "ayanamsha_system": "True Pushya sidereal",
          "julian_day": 2448419.90625,
          "computed_at": "2026-05-09T06:36:10.399196+00:00"
        }
      }
    },
    "transit_at_target_date": {
      "target_date": "2027-09-15",
      "computed_at_ut_hour": 12.0,
      "ayanamsha_name": "True Pushya sidereal",
      "ayanamsha_value": 23.111,
      "positions": {
        "Sun": {
          "sign": "Leo",
          "degree": 29.32,
          "nakshatra": "Uttara Phalguni",
          "pada": 1,
          "retrograde": false,
          "combust": null,
          "house": 5,
          "longitude": 149.323
        },
        "Moon": {
          "sign": "Aquarius",
          "degree": 24.14,
          "nakshatra": "Purva Bhadrapada",
          "pada": 2,
          "retrograde": false,
          "combust": null,
          "house": 11,
          "longitude": 324.145
        },
        "Mars": {
          "sign": "Libra",
          "degree": 15.79,
          "nakshatra": "Swati",
          "pada": 3,
          "retrograde": false,
          "combust": null,
          "house": 7,
          "longitude": 195.787
        },
        "Mercury": {
          "sign": "Virgo",
          "degree": 23.93,
          "nakshatra": "Chitra",
          "pada": 1,
          "retrograde": false,
          "combust": null,
          "house": 6,
          "longitude": 173.926
        },
        "Jupiter": {
          "sign": "Leo",
          "degree": 17.87,
          "nakshatra": "Purva Phalguni",
          "pada": 2,
          "retrograde": false,
          "combust": null,
          "house": 5,
          "longitude": 137.871
        },
        "Venus": {
          "sign": "Virgo",
          "degree": 8.73,
          "nakshatra": "Uttara Phalguni",
          "pada": 4,
          "retrograde": false,
          "combust": null,
          "house": 6,
          "longitude": 158.73
        },
        "Saturn": {
          "sign": "Aries",
          "degree": 3.65,
          "nakshatra": "Ashwini",
          "pada": 2,
          "retrograde": true,
          "combust": null,
          "house": 1,
          "longitude": 3.65
        },
        "Rahu": {
          "sign": "Capricorn",
          "degree": 16.1,
          "nakshatra": "Shravana",
          "pada": 2,
          "retrograde": false,
          "combust": null,
          "house": 10,
          "longitude": 286.098
        },
        "Ketu": {
          "sign": "Cancer",
          "degree": 16.1,
          "nakshatra": "Pushya",
          "pada": 4,
          "retrograde": false,
          "combust": null,
          "house": 4,
          "longitude": 106.098
        }
      }
    }
  },
  "active_dasha_at_window": {
    "natal_chart_used": "Russia 1991 (12 June 1991 12:45 MSK Moscow), canonical per 9 May 2026 decision",
    "engine_method": "engine/dasha.py via Vimshottari computation; engine/ephemeris.py for Moon longitude (Mrigashira pada 2)",
    "mahadasha": "Jupiter",
    "mahadasha_window": "2014-07-18 to 2030-07-18",
    "antardasha": "Mars",
    "antardasha_window": "2027-03-16 to 2028-02-19",
    "pratyantardasha_progression": {
      "2027-08-01": "Saturn",
      "2027-09-15": "Mercury",
      "2027-10-15": "Mercury",
      "2027-11-14": "Venus"
    },
    "framework_read": "Jupiter Mahadasha is the chart's big-picture chapter; Mars Antardasha inside it is the sudden-action sub-period; Mercury pratyantardasha across September and October 2027 is the document-and-speech sub-sub-period in classical Vimshottari. Together they are coherent for the falsifier's three conditions (written ceasefire, territorial settlement, head-of-state-level leadership change)."
  },
  "transit_mechanism_q3_2027": {
    "engine_method": "engine/ephemeris.py compute_positions, daily steps",
    "jupiter": {
      "2027-08-01": {"sign": "Leo", "degree": 8.19, "retrograde": false},
      "2027-09-15": {"sign": "Leo", "degree": 17.87, "retrograde": false},
      "2027-10-15": {"sign": "Leo", "degree": 24.09, "retrograde": false},
      "2027-11-04": {"sign": "Leo", "degree": 27.78, "retrograde": false},
      "2027-11-18": {"sign": "Virgo", "degree": 0.02, "retrograde": false},
      "_aspect": "Trine (5th sight, graha drishti) from Leo lands in Sagittarius and aspects natal Rahu (Sagittarius 27.93). Orb tightens from 19.74 (1 Aug) to 10.06 (15 Sep) to 3.84 (15 Oct). Aspect approximately exact at window close."
    },
    "saturn": {
      "2027-08-01": {"sign": "Aries", "degree": 4.71, "retrograde": false},
      "2027-09-15": {"sign": "Aries", "degree": 3.65, "retrograde": true},
      "2027-10-15": {"sign": "Aries", "degree": 1.50, "retrograde": true},
      "2027-11-04": {"sign": "Pisces", "degree": 29.95, "retrograde": true},
      "_aspect": "10th aspect (graha drishti) from Aries lands in Capricorn and aspects natal Saturn (Capricorn 13.69). Orb 9 to 11 degrees across the window. Saturn does not return to late Pisces until after window close."
    },
    "rahu": {
      "2027-09-15": {"sign": "Capricorn", "degree": 16.10, "retrograde": false},
      "_aspect": "Approach phase to natal Rahu (Sagittarius 27.93). Orb approximately 18 degrees across the window. Approach, not at Rahu return peak."
    }
  },
  "_known_errors": [],
  "_resolved_partial": true,
  "_resolution_notes": [
    "9 May 2026 Section 2 reconciliation added per P0.2 remediation queue, citing audits f0f2828 and c59b946.",
    "Article body claim of Saturn Mahadasha retired; engine returns Jupiter Mahadasha with Mars Antardasha across the window.",
    "Article body claim of Jupiter into Virgo June or July 2027 retired; engine returns Jupiter Cancer-to-Leo 19 June 2027, Jupiter remains in Leo through window, Leo-to-Virgo 18 November 2027.",
    "Article body claim of Saturn-late-Pisces retired; engine returns Saturn-Aries from 22 May 2027 (retrograding back to Pisces only on 4 November 2027 after window close).",
    "Chart identity corrected from 25 December 1991 (now retired) to 12 June 1991 (canonical per 9 May 2026 decision).",
    "Falsifier and window unchanged (event-shape based, not transit-shape based).",
    "Vedic_chart_data updated with engine-verified Q3 2027 transit positions and corrected dasha state."
  ],
  "source_paper": "/findings/russia-ukraine-resolution-q3-2027.html",
  "tracker_ref": "RU2027",
  "status": "pending",
  "_meta": {
    "receipt_decision": "Option (c) per generator brief: receipt reflects the article's currently published claims AND carries a _known_errors array citing the retroactive audit f0f2828 findings. Will be regenerated after Section 2 reconciliation lands.",
    "natal_file_used": "tools/natals/russia_1991.json (12 June 1991 12:45 MSK)",
    "transit_target_date": "2027-09-15"
  },
  "result": null,
  "reconciled_at": null,
  "reconciliation_notes": null
}