Tempora Research · The Lab
The Lab is where a timing signature earns its place. These are experimental calls we publish before we trust them, on dated windows with a fixed check-back. They are not yet calibrated and do not count toward the Tracker hit rate. A signature graduates to the Tracker only after it clears our calibration bar. The ones that do not are withdrawn from scoring and kept on the record for reference.
Experimental surface. Not counted in the Tracker hit rate.
A signature lands in the Lab when we have a dated, testable read but have not yet earned the right to score it. Each call carries a specific window, a public reference to judge it against and a check-back once the window closes. These are candidates, not verdicts.
A signature graduates to the Tracker only after it clears our calibration bar across enough closed windows to trust it. Until then it stays here, experimental and out of the headline hit rate. Signatures that do not clear the bar are withdrawn from scoring and kept on the record so the trail stays honest.
If a Lab call fails its test, the failure stays public. That is the point of testing in the open.
Why a separate surface. The Tracker carries only calls we stand behind on calibration. The Lab is everything still proving itself. Keeping them apart means the Tracker hit rate reflects trusted signatures and nothing experimental inflates or drags it.
Observational research, marked exploratory. Tempora provides information for your own judgement and gives no investment advice.
| Ref | Domain | Claim | Window | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Under test | ||||
| ATL4NAMEDAUG26 | Climate | At least 4 named Atlantic basin tropical systems form in the 2026 season by 31 August 2026, counted on the NHC operational naming list. Four or more fires MET; three or fewer fires FAILED. Two already named at publication: Arthur (17 Jun, 45 mph) and Bertha (19 Jul, 60 mph). Stated probability 0.60 against a climatology-only base rate of 0.75 (median fourth-storm date 15 August, 1991-2020), discounted for the declared El Nino regime. Reference: NHC advisories and the 2026 Atlantic tropical cyclone reports index. Chart-side mechanismLab entry applying the climatology-adjusted lesson from the FAILED ATL2026CAT1 call: metric moved from Category 1 intensity to named-storm formation count, and the date set past the climatological median for that count instead of about four weeks ahead of it. Regime conditioning quoted in the claim (NOAA 21 May 2026 outlook 8 to 14 named storms; CSU 8 July 2026 cut to 9 named storms, 4 hurricanes, 1 major on a very strong El Nino with above-normal tropical Atlantic wind shear). Chart-side content is one engine-verified period boundary on USA 1776: MD Venus with AD Sun through 10 Aug 2026, then AD Moon from 10 Aug 2026, the boundary falling 21 days into the window. Moon is the classical water and tides karaka. No calibrated basin storm-count signature exists at monthly resolution, so no lift is claimed and the prior comes from climatology plus ENSO. | 30 July 2026 → 31 August 2026 | Live stated 60% · base rate 75% |
| INDCPIAUG26 | Macro | India August 2026 headline CPI YoY on the 2024=100 base prints between 4.2 and 4.8 percent inclusive per the MOSPI mid September release. Inside fires MET; outside on either side fires FAILED. Stated probability 0.7 against a base rate of 0.6. Base rate inferred from the observed step sizes of the 2024-base series, where consecutive monthly prints have moved in steps small relative to a 0.6 point band; June to July moved 0.07 points. The tilt above base reflects no announced tax or fuel shock inside the measured month. Chart-side mechanismBand-call instrument on a rising series. Lesson applied from the miss register: two-sided bands grade cleanly and cannot be flattered by direction (M2 family). Chart-side: India 1947 MD Mars plus AD Saturn (engine-verified, AD Saturn from 18 Jun 2026) spans the measured month and the release; no lift quoted at monthly resolution. | 1 August 2026 → 31 August 2026 | Live stated 70% · base rate 60% |
| WASIACUP2026 | Markets | India reach the final of the 2026 Women's Asia Cup (Dubai, final on 13 September 2026). Qualification fires MET; elimination at group stage or semi-final fires FAILED; winning is not required. Stated probability 0.8 against a base rate of 0.85. India have appeared in all nine finals of the tournament since 2004, winning seven and losing the 2018 and 2024 finals. The base rate is set below the raw nine of nine to allow for a strengthening field, and the stated probability sits below the base to account for the T20 format's single-match variance in a semi-final. Chart-side mechanismBase-rate instrument on tournament structure. The entry tests whether a near-unanimous historical base survives a format where one bad twenty-over innings ends the run. No chart-side claim is made; this is a calibration entry for the sports class after the withdrawn Wimbledon pair. | 28 August 2026 → 13 September 2026 | Live stated 80% · base rate 85% |
| INDCPIAUGCORE | Macro | India core CPI excluding food and beverages and excluding fuel prints at or below 3.5 percent year on year for August 2026, in the release cycle following the MOSPI CPI publication expected around 12 September 2026. At or below fires MET; above fires FAILED. Stated probability 0.20; 2026 run-rate base rate 0.17. Reference: MOSPI CPI press release subindices with the core aggregate per ICRA's monthly CPI comment. Chart-side mechanismLab metric-select instance. No chart-side mechanism asserted: the dated fact sheet governing astronomical claims for this batch was unavailable at publication and Tempora does not assert transit dates without it. Method side: lesson M3 applied after INDCPIJUN, which graded FAILED on a 4.0 percent headline threshold (print 4.38 percent) on a food-driven month. Core excludes food and fuel, so this instance carries no monsoon-food-shock exposure; the declared cost is precious-metals exposure inside standard core, which carried core from 3.80 percent in May to 4.20 percent in June while core excluding precious metals stayed near 2.9 percent. | 1 August 2026 → 20 September 2026 | Live stated 20% · base rate 17% |
| 014 | Markets | Four flagged caution-and-recovery weeks for Nifty 50 between July and September 2026. Chart-side mechanismSharpest signal: week of 2026-08-03. | 15 July 2026 → 30 September 2026 | Live |
| USCPIAUGMOM | Macro | US August 2026 CPI all-items seasonally adjusted month-on-month change prints at or below 0.0 percent in the BLS release expected in the second week of September 2026. At or below fires MET; above fires FAILED. Stated probability 0.35; recent-run base rate 0.17 quoted from the six prints through June 2026. Reference: BLS Consumer Price Index news release, all items seasonally adjusted, one-month percent change. Chart-side mechanismLab metric-select instance. No chart-side mechanism asserted: the dated fact sheet governing astronomical claims for this batch was unavailable at publication and Tempora does not assert transit dates without it. Method side: lesson M3 applied after USCPIJUN, which graded FAILED on a 2.5 percent headline year-on-year threshold while the month-on-month print was -0.4 percent and core 2.6 percent; the test moves onto the series that carried the signal. Falsifier as filed carries a notation conflict (symbol reads flat-to-warm, parenthetical reads net cool or flat); graded on the parenthetical, at or below 0.0 percent. | 1 August 2026 → 30 September 2026 | Live stated 35% · base rate 17% |
| FDAQ32026NME | Markets | FDA CDER novel drug approvals for Q3 2026 (July plus August plus September combined) total at or above 12. Twelve or more fires MET; eleven or fewer fires FAILED. Counting convention fixed in advance: entries on the FDA Novel Drug Approvals for 2026 page dated 1 Jul to 30 Sep 2026 inclusive, CBER excluded. Stated probability 0.52 against a base rate of 0.50 from CDER's 2021-2025 quarterly averages; the 2026 run rate is 22 novel approvals in H1, about 11 per quarter. Reference: FDA Novel Drug Approvals for 2026 page. Chart-side mechanismLab entry applying the rolling-window lesson from the FAILED FDAJUN6NME call, which asked one month for six novel approvals against a CDER trend near four a month and was gradeable at two or three on competing counting conventions. A quarter averages user-fee goal-date clustering toward trend, so the threshold can sit at trend, and the convention is fixed before the window opens. Chart-side: USA 1776 MD Venus with AD Sun through 10 Aug 2026, then AD Moon from 10 Aug 2026 (engine-verified), the boundary falling six weeks before the quarter closes; Venus is the classical karaka of pharmaceutical substances. This also corrects the June article's AD Rahu claim for the same chart, which the engine refutes. No calibrated regulatory-approval-count signature exists at quarterly resolution, so no lift is claimed and the prior is the CDER run rate. | 1 July 2026 → 30 September 2026 | Live stated 52% · base rate 50% |
| ATLSEP2026 | Markets | The 2026 Atlantic cumulative named-storm count stands at five or fewer on 30 September 2026 per the NHC record. Five or fewer fires MET; a sixth named storm by 30 September fires FAILED. Stated probability 0.6 against a base rate of 0.5. From a base of two storms in late August, failure requires four or more named storms in roughly five weeks. An average September alone produces about three to four named storms, so the climatological coin is close to fair; the tilt reflects the season's observed suppression and NOAA's maintained below-normal outlook. Chart-side mechanismCheckpoint instrument inside the open ATL2026TOTAL thesis (11 or fewer for the full season). The August 4-storm checkpoint grades on 31 August; this entry re-arms the thesis through the hardest stretch. No chart-side claim at monthly resolution. | 27 August 2026 → 30 September 2026 | Live stated 60% · base rate 50% |
| AAPLSEPT2026 | Markets | AAPL closes the September 2026 iPhone-event week above the prior Friday close. Above fires MET; at or below fires FAILED; no September event announced means the entry is withdrawn. Reference: Nasdaq official closes. Stated probability 0.6 against a base rate of 0.64. Computed from the eleven September-cycle events 2015 to 2025: seven event weeks closed above the prior Friday, four below (2016, 2021, 2023, 2025). The stated probability sits below the raw seven of eleven because the two most recent cycles split and single-week equity noise is large. Chart-side mechanismFolklore-inversion instrument. The received claim (sell the event) fails a simple computed check, so the entry takes the computed side and publishes the eleven-week table before the event date exists. Weekly closes from official daily data; the four down years are named so the base cannot be quietly recut. No chart-side claim. | 1 September 2026 → 30 September 2026 | Live stated 60% · base rate 64% |
| NOBELAI2026 | Markets | At least one 2026 Nobel among Physics, Chemistry and Economics carries an official citation naming machine learning, deep learning, neural networks or AI as constitutive of the awarded work. One or more fires MET; zero fires FAILED. Reference: official prize citations, 5 to 12 October 2026. Stated probability 0.35 against a base rate of 0.3. 2024 cited machine learning constitutively in two prizes; 2025 cited none. The base is set low because committees typically reward decades-old work and the ML-native cohort is only beginning to enter that horizon; the small tilt reflects the widening pool of ML-dependent results in structural biology and materials. Chart-side mechanismCultural-diffusion instrument. The falsifier is anchored to the official citation text rather than press commentary so the grade cannot be argued. A below-coin stated probability is deliberate: the register requires publishing calls we think are more likely to fail when the question is worth holding in public. No chart-side claim. | 5 October 2026 → 12 October 2026 | Live stated 35% · base rate 30% |
| MERCNOV26 | Periods | Between 29 October 2026 and 11 November 2026 inclusive, at least 2 globally-recognised Tier-1 institutions publicly disclose a communications-channel failure. Chart-side mechanismTier-1 = G7 central bank, G7 govt press office, top-10 stock exchange, top-10 cloud/social platform, or top-5 newswire. Comms-failure = outage >30 min OR formal correction OR cyber-breach with named press coverage. Mercury cazimi 4 Nov 2026 at 0.76 deg orb in sidereal Libra 19.51 deg Swati pada 4 under TPP (engine-verified). Combust window 29 Oct to 11 Nov; deep combust 3-6 Nov. Multi-anchor: India 1947 + USA 1776 + UK 1801. UK 1801 triple-stack (Mercury MD + Mercury yogakaraka + AD Jupiter close 21d post-cazimi) is load-bearing. Structural tier. | 29 October 2026 → 11 November 2026 | Live |
| IPOOCTRETRO | Markets | Combined NSE+BSE mainboard IPO listings during the 24 October to 13 November 2026 Mercury retrograde number at least as many as during 3 to 23 October 2026. At least as many fires MET; fewer fires FAILED. Reference: exchange listing records. Stated probability 0.6 against a base rate of 0.55. The July 2026 suppression call failed against heavy primary-market activity, and the retrograde window this time contains the Diwali muhurat period, which historically concentrates listings. The base is near coin because 21-day listing counts are lumpy; the tilt follows the festive calendar rather than any chart claim. Chart-side mechanismSymmetric retest after IPO2026JUL graded FAILED (suppression version). Lesson applied: relative comparison against an adjacent equal window rather than an absolute count (M2 family). The retrograde dates are computed on the Swiss Ephemeris with stations at daily resolution refined to the hour; the entry makes no directional chart claim beyond the computed window itself. | 24 October 2026 → 13 November 2026 | Live stated 60% · base rate 55% |
| FADAOCT2026 | Markets | FADA total all-category retail sales for October 2026 print above October 2025 in the monthly release expected early November. YoY positive fires MET; flat or negative fires FAILED. Reference: FADA press release. Chart-side mechanismRegime declared up front: the 40-percent-deficient June monsoon is a live headwind to rural two-wheeler volumes, so the stated probability (0.65) sits below the festive base rate (about 3 of 4 recent Octobers positive). Chart-side: transit Jupiter exactly conjuncts India natal Sun (Cancer 29.13, orb 0.05 deg) on 16 October, inside the festive month, completing the exalted transit's five-contact stellium walk; MD Mars plus AD Saturn (engine-verified). | 1 October 2026 → 15 November 2026 | Live stated 65% · base rate 75% |
| INDITQ2FY27 | Markets | TCS and Infosys Q2 FY27 combined AI-services revenue growth above 10 percent year on year, OR combined deal-wins TCV growth above 20 percent year on year, on the figures disclosed in the Q2 FY27 results. Either leg clearing fires MET; both falling short fires FAILED. Stated probability 0.55; combined TCV was about flat year on year in Q1 FY27 and the 20 percent leg needs roughly 15.7 billion dollars against 13.1 billion in Q2 FY26. Reference: TCS quarterly fact sheet and press release, Infosys Q2 FY27 press release and SEC Form 6-K. Chart-side mechanismLab metric-select instance. No chart-side mechanism asserted: the dated fact sheet governing astronomical claims for this batch was unavailable at publication and Tempora does not assert transit dates without it. Method side: lesson M5 applied after TCSQ1FY27 (FAILED at 3.2 percent constant currency against 5.0 percent) and INFYQ1FY27 (FAILED at 2.4 percent against 3.0 percent), both of which recorded that AI services, deal wins and operating leverage were the lines moving while the thresholds sat on trailing revenue. Declared costs: company-defined metrics, voluntary disclosure that can leave the AI leg ungradeable, and an either-or structure with two paths to MET, for which the stated probability is discounted. | 1 October 2026 → 15 November 2026 | Live stated 55% |
| FADAFEST2026 | Markets | FADA total vehicle retail for the 2026 42-day festive period prints at or above the 2025 festive total, which is zero or positive YoY against an all-time-high base that grew 21 percent on GST 2.0 cuts plus Dussehra and Diwali. At or above fires MET; below fires FAILED. Stated probability 0.40 against a naive always-grows base rate near 0.75, discounted for the one-off demand pull-forward in the base period. Window binds to FADA's published 42-day festive definition for 2026 when announced; the 2025 window ran 22 Sep to 2 Nov. Reference: FADA festive-period press release, total retail line. Chart-side mechanismDeliberately the contrarian side: this call is that the 2025 festive record does NOT hold, stated as its falsifiable complement. Base facts: October 2025 retail grew 40.5 percent YoY past 4.2 million units, the 42-day festive period surged 21 percent YoY to an all-time high, and November 2025 settled to 2.14 percent YoY as two-wheelers fell 3.1 percent on the festive pull-forward. Carries the YoY-versus-same-month discipline from the FAILED DGCAJUN2026 call: the threshold is a rate against a defined base rather than an absolute unit bar. Chart-side, engine-verified 2026-08-16 against India 1947 canonical (Taurus lagna): Mars mahadasha with Saturn antardasha across the whole window, verified at both 15 September and 15 November 2026, read as a structural-pressure period sitting alongside the demand-base argument rather than under it. | 15 September 2026 → 15 November 2026 | Live stated 40% · base rate 75% |
| ATL2026TOTAL | Climate | The 2026 Atlantic season closes with 11 or fewer named storms on the NHC operational naming list at the 30 November season end. At or below 11 fires MET; 12 or more fires FAILED. Stated probability 0.65 against a 1991-2020 climatology base rate near 0.30 for a season at or below 11 (median 14.4 named storms), conditioned on the declared very strong El Nino: NOAA 21 May 2026 outlook 8 to 14 named storms, CSU 8 July 2026 cut to 9 named, 4 hurricanes, 1 major. Reference: NHC advisories and the 2026 Atlantic tropical cyclone reports index. Chart-side mechanismExtends ATL4NAMEDAUG26 from a mid-season count to the season total on the same metric and the same naming list. Carries the documented lesson from the FAILED ATL2026CAT1 call: the metric moved from intensity to formation count and the threshold sits on the suppressed side of the published seasonal forecasts rather than ahead of climatology. Chart-side, engine-verified 2026-08-16 against USA 1776 (Sibly): Venus mahadasha runs across the entire window, with the antardasha shifting from Sun to Moon at the 11 to 12 August 2026 boundary. No single antardasha covers the window and none is claimed to. The call rests primarily on the meteorological regime conditioning, with the chart-side layer as secondary context. | 1 June 2026 → 30 November 2026 | Live stated 65% · base rate 30% |
| RBI100BPS | Markets | RBI repo rate announced at Dec 2026 MPC (typically held 3-7 Dec) is 100 bps or more below the rate prevailing 30 Jun 2026. Chart-side mechanismBaseline: easing cycle since Feb 2025 from peak 6.50pct; mid-2026 ~5.25-5.50pct; 100bps cumulative across Aug/Oct/Dec MPCs takes rate to ~4.25-4.50pct. Each meeting avg ~33bps or 2-of-3 deliver 50bps. India 1947 in MD Mars + AD Saturn + PD Venus (2026-11-08 to 2027-01-14, treaty/policy karaka across Dec MPC date). the chart carries the macro promise. the Dhana (wealth) yoga (Mercury rules 2H wealth + 5H policy from Taurus lagna; 2L Mercury + 9L Saturn conjunct Cancer). Saturn as yogakaraka monetary discipline. Sarala (vipareeta raja) yoga. Caveats: annual-progression point Sagittarius 8H dusthana stress year; Mercury cut Moon disc 8 Nov 2026 (treasury 9-mo affliction); Venus horn-strike ON 5 Dec MPC date full intensity. Structural tier with explicit caveats. | 30 June 2026 → 7 December 2026 | Live |
| BTCFEDDEC2026 | Markets | Bitcoin BTC/USD records no daily close above 100,000 US dollars on any day between 15 October 2026 and 9 December 2026 inclusive, the window closing with the December 2026 FOMC meeting. Any single daily close above 100,000 dollars fires FAILED on the first such day. Stated probability 0.94; base rate zero closes above 100,000 dollars in roughly 210 trading days of 2026 to date, with spot near 64,400 dollars on 29 July 2026. Reference: BTC/USD daily close per CoinGecko, cross-checked against YCharts daily historical. Chart-side mechanismLab template instance. No chart-side mechanism asserted: the dated fact sheet governing astronomical claims for this batch was unavailable at publication, so the predecessor's Saturn and nodal reading on the Bitcoin genesis muhurta is not restated. Method side: lesson M4 applied after BTC2026SUM, the null-test template for consolidation windows, here anchored on a window closing at a Federal Reserve decision. Declared weakness: the threshold sits about 55 percent above spot, so ordinary consolidation and a hard sell-off both grade MET and a MET verdict earns little. Filed as a low-information template test. | 15 October 2026 → 9 December 2026 | Live stated 94% · base rate 0% |
| 019 | Geopolitics | February to November 2026 produces at least one elevated Taiwan Strait stress event — PLA exercises larger than the August 2022 Pelosi-response, a TSMC export disruption, or a 30+ day US–China military hotline breakdown. | 1 February 2026 → 31 December 2026 | Live |
| MUND2026 | Macro | Mundane 2026 outer-planet calendar: Saturn finishing Pisces, Jupiter ingressing exalted Cancer June, Rahu-Ketu axis stable, two solar eclipses on Aquarius-Leo axis. Chart-side mechanismPer-chart outcomes against the named transits reviewed at year-end. Cross-references india-monsoon, sensex-nifty and ai-bubble entries. | 1 January 2026 → 31 December 2026 | Live |
| NIF2026 | Markets | Sensex/Nifty 50 2026 year-end: Jupiter exaltation tailwind against eclipse and AI-bubble cross-currents. Chart-side mechanismTest condition: Nifty 50 closing level on 31 December 2026 lands inside a band of 28,000 to 32,000 (+12% to +28% above end-2025 baseline of approximately 25,000). India jupiter-vedha 1.41x. Reconciliation within 14 days. | 2 June 2026 → 31 December 2026 | Live |
| UNIIPOQ3FY27 | Markets | 6 or more Indian companies that held unicorn status (USD 1B+ pre-IPO private valuation per last priced funding round before DRHP filing) successfully list on NSE or BSE main board between 1 Oct and 31 Dec 2026 inclusive. Chart-side mechanismBaseline: trailing 3-half-year avg ~4 unicorn listings (H2 CY2024 ~5; H1 CY2025 ~3; H2 CY2025 ~4). >=6 tests bunching above the half-year average. Chart-side compression mechanism: Mercury retrograde 17 Jul-11 Aug 2026 + Mercury combust Aug-Sep 2026 compresses pre-Q3 issuance INTO Q3 (Oct-Dec) when Mercury direct+clear. NSE 1994 Mercury Atmakaraka own sign Virgo + Mercury #1 by natal potency + PD Mercury (27 Sep-23 Nov) across Q3 middle. BSE 1875 Mercury yogakaraka (kendra 1+10 + trikona 1 from Virgo lagna) + Venus #1 by composite planetary strength + MD Sun + AD Venus across Q3 + the chart promises all three domains. Caveats: Mercury cut Moon disc + horn-strike 8 Nov full intensity; BSE Sun+Venus enemies friction sub-period. Structural tier. | 1 October 2026 → 31 December 2026 | Live |
| GOLD2027Q4 | Markets | Gold's rolling 3-month LBMA AM USD fix average for October to December 2027 lands inside the 4,355 to 5,695 USD per ounce band, 30 to 70 percent above the 1 June 2025 baseline. Inside the band fires MET; below or above fires FAILED. Stated probability 0.45 against an unconditioned base rate near 0.25 for any pre-declared 40-percent-wide band 14 months out. Reference: LBMA AM auction prices, 3-month simple average for Oct, Nov and Dec 2027. Chart-side mechanismFormalises the atomic claim already published on the article. Chart-side: Jupiter exits sidereal Cancer (exaltation) into Leo on 19 June 2027, engine-verified at hourly precision against the Swiss Ephemeris under the PVRN Rao True Pushya ayanamsa (2026-08-16 recomputation; an earlier daily-grid pass read 20 June and was one day late). The call reads the post-exaltation reset window rather than the exaltation itself. Carries the documented 042 lesson: that call named a 20 to 45 percent band, gold overshot to roughly 62 to 66 percent above baseline and graded met-directional with the mechanism error published. This band is wider and the reference series is a 3-month average rather than a peak print, both deliberate corrections to that miss. | 1 October 2027 → 31 December 2027 | Live stated 45% · base rate 25% |
Closed while under test | ||||
| DGCAJUL26YOY | Markets | India DGCA all-airline scheduled domestic passenger traffic for July 2026 grows above 2.5 percent YoY against July 2025 (base month 126 lakh, so the line sits near 129 lakh). Above +2.5 percent fires MET; at or below fires FAILED. Stated probability 0.55 against a base rate of 0.45 inferred from the +1.44 percent H1 2026 aggregate (864.04 lakh against 851.74 lakh). Reference: DGCA monthly air traffic bulletin, Domestic Operations table, with the July 2025 comparative taken from the same bulletin. Chart-side mechanismLab entry applying the YoY-versus-same-month lesson from the FAILED DGCAJUN2026 call, which set an absolute 13.5 million bar into India's lean month and graded FAILED when the print landed at exactly 13.5 million. Stating the threshold as a growth rate carries the seasonal shape inside the comparison. Tilt above the base rate comes from the soft base month, July 2025 having itself contracted 2.94 percent YoY, and the margin is one to two percentage points wide. Chart-side: India 1947 MD Mars plus AD Saturn (engine-verified, AD Saturn from 18 Jun 2026) covers both print month and bulletin release; transit Jupiter exalted sidereal Cancer 27 May 2026 to 19 Jun 2027 walks the chart's 2H accumulation axis and is exact on natal Mercury at Cancer 14.80 degrees on 5 Aug 2026, five days after the measured month closes. The June instance of this signature graded FAILED on threshold design while the annual growth reading held, so no lift is claimed at monthly resolution. Result. FAILED (reconciled 2026-08-24). DGCA July 2026 all-airline scheduled domestic passenger traffic printed at 119.99 lakh (derived from the bulletin cumulative lines, 984.03 lakh Jan-Jul 2026 minus 864.04 lakh Jan-Jun 2026; press reports round to 1.20 crore) against 126.05 lakh in July 2025 (977.79 minus 851.74), a contraction of 4.8 percent year on year. The call required growth above +2.5 percent, so it fails by roughly 7.3 percentage points. The base-month effect the entry leaned on never had a chance to matter: July 2025 was itself a contraction month and July 2026 contracted further, the third consecutive July decline (July 2024 approximately 129.9 lakh). The metric redesign from the June miss functioned as intended, the grade is clean at the stated line; the direction was wrong, not the instrument. Cumulative Jan-Jul 2026 growth 0.64 percent YoY. | 1 July 2026 → 31 July 2026 | Did not meet stated 55% · base rate 45% |
| INCAB2026 | Geopolitics | India Government announces a cabinet reshuffle involving 2+ portfolio changes at cabinet rank between 12 Jun and 15 Aug 2026 inclusive. Chart-side mechanismtransit Jupiter exalted Cancer walks India 1947 natal Cancer stellium with exact Mercury contact 5 Aug (10 days before Independence Day). Mercury rules 2nd house = inner-circle authority. Structural tier. Result. FAILED (reconciled 2026-08-15). No cabinet reshuffle involving 2 or more portfolio changes at cabinet rank was announced between 12 Jun and 15 Aug 2026. Reshuffle speculation intensified around the monsoon session (21 Jul to 21 Aug) but neither the PMO nor the BJP issued any confirmation, and no Rashtrapati Bhavan press communique announcing oaths or portfolio reallocation falls inside the window. The mechanism read the period as reshuffle-prone and the direction may yet prove right after the window closes; the call still grades FAILED because the window is the claim. Timing error, not a direction error, and the falsifier was stated in advance. | 12 June 2026 → 15 August 2026 | Did not meet |
| MODICAB2026 | Geopolitics | Between 1 Jul and 15 Aug 2026 inclusive Modi government announces 3+ portfolio reassignments at Union Cabinet Minister rank (new appointment at Cabinet rank OR existing Cabinet Minister moved to a different ministry; PIB + cabinet.gov.in portfolio table is reference). Chart-side mechanismModi natal entered Rahu MD 21 Mar 2026 (18-yr cycle). PD Rahu (2026-03-21 to 2026-08-15) closes EXACTLY on 15 Aug 2026 Independence Day deadline = boundary into PD Jupiter. Modi annual-progression point at Aquarius 4H kendra (public-mandate direct activation). Mars as yogakaraka + Jupiter rules 2H+5H wealth combination. India 1947 annual-progression point at Scorpio 7H kendra direct activation; the chart carries the macro and geopolitics promise. Mercury cut Moon disc 11 Aug 2026 (4d pre-deadline) carries explicit treasury + MINISTERS 9-mo affliction signature - the literal nakshatra-event word match for a cabinet-reshuffle call. Structural tier with strong timing-precision anchor. Result. FAILED (reconciled 2026-08-15). No announcement of 3 or more portfolio reassignments at Union Cabinet Minister rank between 1 Jul and 15 Aug 2026. The PIB and cabinet.gov.in portfolio tables carry no change inside the window. Same timing miss as INCAB2026 and tighter: this call asked for a larger reshuffle in a shorter window, so it was the more demanding of the pair and failed for the same reason. Reported speculation (Sitharaman to Education, Goyal to Finance, Pradhan exit) remained speculation throughout. | 1 July 2026 → 15 August 2026 | Did not meet |
| MONJUL26 | Macro | India July 2026 IMD all-India rainfall print at or above 100pct of LPA as published by IMD ~1 Aug 2026. Reference: mausam.imd.gov.in monthly weather summary. Sequel to S1 MONJUN2026 (June Normal-band test). Risk declared 2 Jul 2026 Chart-side mechanismJupiter exalted Cancer 5-12 deg across July transits India natal Moon at Cancer 5.12 in Pushya nakshatra (classical nourishing nakshatra). Structural tier. Risk declared 2 Jul 2026. the same El Nino regime that produced the June miss argues against a 100-percent-of-LPA July. Elevated FAILED risk, declared before the IMD July print. Result. MET. IMD all-India rainfall for July 2026 printed 101 per cent of the Long Period Average (about 290.3 mm against a 1971-2020 LPA of about 280.4 mm), above the 100 per cent test floor. The monsoon recovered in July after one of the driest Junes on record, driven by low pressure areas over central India. Note on sourcing: the IMD monthly-summary page did not resolve at the URL the call named, so the figure is IMD's own as carried consistently by Down To Earth and Skymet rather than read off the IMD page directly. The verdict direction is unambiguous either way, since the test is a floor and every source places the print above it. | 12 June 2026 → 8 August 2026 | Met |
| BANKQ1FY27 | Markets | HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank Q1 FY27 net interest income year-on-year growth both at or above 5 per cent, AND Nifty Bank index closes higher within 5 trading sessions after the later print. Chart-side mechanismtransit Jupiter exalted Cancer pre-conjunction approach (3-5 deg orb) to India 1947 natal Mercury Cancer 14 deg through Q1 FY27 earnings season; exact conjunction 5 Aug 2026. Structural tier. Result. All three conditions fired: HDFC Bank Q1 FY27 NII grew 6.7 percent year on year (33,535 crore vs 31,438 crore) and ICICI Bank Q1 FY27 NII grew 12.7 percent (24,384 crore), both at or above the 5 percent test; Nifty Bank closed the post-print week higher than the pre-print Friday close, satisfying the within-5-sessions condition. Sources: bank results releases of 18 July 2026, NSE closes. | 11 June 2026 → 31 July 2026 | Met |
| BRENT31JUL | Markets | Brent crude ICE front-month 31 Jul 2026 settlement above $80.00/bbl. Strictly above $80.00 fires MET; at or below fires FAILED. Reference: ICE Brent front-month last-traded settlement. Risk declared 2 Jul 2026 Chart-side mechanismSaturn at Pisces 22-23 deg approaches Aries debilitation (energy capex discipline classical signature) plus Mars approaches Iran 1979 lagna in pre-IRIS2027 phase. Early-window leading indicator for BRENT2027 annual-avg call. Structural tier. Risk declared 2 Jul 2026. Brent trades near $72 to $73 after its steepest quarterly decline since 2020 amid rebounding Iranian and Russian supply. The above-$80 settlement condition carries elevated FAILED risk, declared in advance. Result. ICE Brent front-month traded at 92.27 dollars per barrel on 31 July 2026, roughly 12 dollars above the 80.00 test level; the settlement printed strictly above 80.00. | 12 June 2026 → 5 August 2026 | Met |
| EURUSD31JUL | Markets | EUR/USD spot rate 31 Jul 2026 close above 1.10. Reference: ECB reference rate publication or major-bank settlement on 31 Jul. Mirror to S5 DXY2026 (DXY below 102 same date). EUR/USD ~58pct DXY weight provides cross-confirmation. Chart-side mechanismJupiter exalted Cancer 9th from dollar Sagittarius chart-anchor = structural dollar weakness. Structural tier. Result. EUR/USD closed 31 July 2026 at 1.1527, above the 1.10 test level. Cross-confirmed by the DXY2026 verdict (DXY below 102 on the same date), consistent with the 58 percent EUR weight in DXY. | 12 June 2026 → 5 August 2026 | Met |
| FEDJUL | Macro | FOMC 28-29 Jul 2026 meeting concludes with federal funds target range held UNCHANGED at prior-meeting level. No change in either direction at 0 bp fires MET; any rate change fires FAILED. Reference: Federal Reserve official press release post-meeting. Chart-side mechanismSaturn at Pisces 22-23 deg approaches Aries debilitation (delayed-action classical signature) + Jupiter exalted Cancer benefic-moderates US monetary axis. Structural tier. Result. FOMC of 28 to 29 July 2026 held the federal funds target range at 3.50 to 3.75 percent, a 0 bp decision on a 9 to 3 vote (Federal Reserve press release, 29 July 2026). The falsifier required any rate change to fire FAILED; none occurred. | 12 June 2026 → 5 August 2026 | Met |
| MUNICHRE1H | Markets | Munich Re H1 2026 natural-catastrophe insured-loss estimate prints above $30B in H1 flash report released early July 2026. Chart-side mechanismUSA 1776 proxy chart pending dedicated Munich Re 1880 calibration. MD Venus plus AD Rahu plus PD Sun on insurance-stress axis. Transit Saturn Pisces 21.46 deg at 4H structurally compressing home-and-property axis. Transit Jupiter exalted Cancer 9.34 deg at 8H hidden-losses activation. Structural tier with proxy-chart caveat. — Reconciliation note 2026-07-02: Munich Re publishes its H1 nat-cat estimate in late July, not early July as this call assumed; reconciliation re-dated to 5 Aug 2026, data-pending. Proxy-chart caveat stands. Result. (reconciled 2026-08-04): MET. Munich Re's H1 2026 flash report (released 30 July 2026) put global insured natural-catastrophe losses at $44 billion, above the $30 billion threshold, though below the 10-year average of $50 billion. Total economic losses ran near $112 billion (60 percent protection gap), led by Storm Kristin in late January and the 24 June Venezuela earthquake. Source: Munich Re H1 2026 nat-cat review; Artemis, Reinsurance News. | 1 January 2026 → 30 June 2026 | Met |
| TDF2026 | Sports | Tour de France 2026 (4 to 26 Jul; dates corrected 2 Jul 2026) overall winner is either (a) a French rider OR (b) Tadej Pogacar (defender). Reference: ASO official final classification published 26 Jul 2026 in Paris. Either path fires MET; any other rider winning fires FAILED. Chart-side mechanismSun in Cancer reads as home-territory + sovereign-incumbent signature satisfying either path. Structural tier. Result. (reconciled 2026-08-04): MET. Tadej Pogacar won the 2026 Tour de France in Paris on 26 July, his fifth title, ahead of Evenepoel (+6:26) and del Toro (+9:42). The falsifier fired MET on the Pogacar-defender path (French rider OR Pogacar). Source: ASO official final classification, Cyclingnews, ProCyclingUK. | 12 June 2026 → 26 July 2026 | Met |
| DXY2026 | Markets | ICE US Dollar Index DXY end-of-day closing print on Friday 31 Jul 2026 lands below 102.00. Any close at or above 102.00 fires FAILED. Chart-side mechanismtransit Jupiter exalted Cancer occupies 9th house from US 1776 Scorpio 22.77 lagna across July; classical reading is foreign-reciprocity expansion and home-currency softening. Structural tier. Result. (reconciled 2026-08-04): MET. The ICE US Dollar Index closed at 99.80 on Friday 31 July 2026, below the 102.00 threshold. Any close at or above 102.00 would have fired FAILED; the dollar held well under the line. Source: ICE DXY end-of-day close, 31 July 2026. | 12 June 2026 → 31 July 2026 | Met |
| USCRT2026 | Geopolitics | At least one US federal appellate-or-higher court issues a binding ruling between 12 Jun and 31 Jul 2026 on (a) executive policy authority, (b) a high-profile public-figure case, or (c) a sovereign-economic matter. Chart-side mechanismtransit Rahu Aquarius approaches US 1776 natal Moon Aquarius 7.58 deg through Jul 2026 (4th house from Scorpio lagna). Structural tier. Result. (reconciled 2026-08-04): MET. On 29 June 2026 the US Supreme Court issued multiple binding rulings on executive-policy authority inside the window, including Slaughter (6-3, expanding presidential power to remove independent-agency commissioners, overturning the 1935 Humphrey's Executor precedent), the TPS ruling in Mullin v. Doe, and the tariff-authority decision. Any one satisfies the binding-ruling-on-executive-policy-authority condition. Source: US Supreme Court June 2026 term; Al Jazeera, The Hill, SCOTUSblog. | 12 June 2026 → 31 July 2026 | Met |
| DGCAJUN2026 | Markets | India DGCA all-airline domestic passenger traffic for June 2026 prints above 13.5 million pax. Chart-side mechanismtransit Jupiter exalted Cancer (27 May 2026 onwards under True Pushya Paksha) walks India 1947 chart's Cancer cluster across the print month; Jupiter exact on natal Mercury Cancer 14.80 at 0.06 deg orb on 5 Aug 2026 (engine-verified). Mercury rules 2H wealth plus 5H policy single-planet Dhana yoga from Taurus lagna. India MD Mars with AD Jupiter across the June measurement month and AD Saturn plus PD Saturn across the print release (engine-verified; AD Saturn from 18 Jun 2026). Structural tier with engine-verified transit precision. — Reconciliation note 2026-07-02: DGCA publishes June monthly traffic data mid-to-late July, not early July as this call assumed; reconciliation re-dated to 25 Jul 2026, data-pending. Result. (reconciled 2026-07-28): FAILED. India DGCA domestic passenger traffic for June 2026 printed at 13.5 million, exactly at the falsifier threshold. Under the stated falsifier wording (at or below 13.5 million fires FAILED), the print does not exceed the bar. Year-to-date Jan-Jun 2026 traffic grew 1.44 percent YoY (864.04 lakh vs 851.74 lakh) but June sits in India's seasonal lean period and did not clear the absolute threshold. Chart-side benefic Jupiter-Cancer transit registered on annual growth trajectory but not enough to lift the seasonally-soft June print. Threshold-setting to a lean-month absolute figure was structurally aggressive; a YoY-vs-June-2025 baseline (12.4M) would have been cleanly MET. Source: DGCA monthly release via Business Standard, Free Press Journal 21 Jul 2026. | 1 June 2026 → 30 June 2026 | Did not meet |
| FDAJUN6NME | Markets | FDA CDER monthly novel-molecular-entity approval count for June 2026 lands at 6 or more NMEs per CDER calendar published approximately 1 Jul 2026. Chart-side mechanismUSA 1776 chart in MD Venus (substances karaka) plus AD Rahu (breakthrough karaka) plus PD Sun (regulatory-authority karaka) three-layer period sub-tier. Transit Jupiter exalted Cancer 9.34 deg sits at 8H from natal Sagittarius lagna activating breakthrough-and-hidden axis at peak dignity. Exact Jupiter-on-natal-Mercury contact 7 Jul 2026 at 0.5 deg orb post-release. Structural tier. — Reconciliation note 2026-07-02: CDER novel-approvals compilation publishes with lag; graded from the official FDA Novel Drug Approvals 2026 page by 15 Jul 2026, data-pending. Early full-year counts suggest elevated FAILED risk. Result. (reconciled 2026-07-28): FAILED. FDA CDER novel drug approvals for June 2026 came in at 2 to 3 depending on strict-NME versus broader-novel-drug counting: Cypsedo (cipepofol, 1 Jun) NME, Lumvoa (veligrotug-vvze, 26 Jun) biologic, Tregzi (Orca-T, 30 Jun) cell therapy. All counting methods fall well below the 6-NME threshold. YTD count through end-June was approximately 23 novel drugs. CDER averages roughly 4 novel drugs per month on the multi-year trend; 6-plus in a single month is a ~20th-percentile event and the falsifier calibrated to that percentile without seasonal adjustment (June is historically softer than Q4 clusters). Source: FDA CDER Novel Drug Approvals 2026, Drugs.com, The Cardiology Advisor. | 1 June 2026 → 30 June 2026 | Did not meet |
| HOTELJUN26 | Markets | India branded-hotels average room revenue (ARR) for June 2026 prints above Rs 8,500 per HVS Anarock or STR India monthly report released early July 2026. Chart-side mechanismIndia 1947 Venus is lagna lord and classical hospitality karaka. MD Mars with AD Jupiter across H1 2026 and AD Saturn from 18 Jun 2026 (engine-verified). Transit Venus Leo friendly-sign expression across June. Transit Jupiter exalted Cancer 9.34 deg activates 2H wealth axis at peak dignity. Structural tier. — Reconciliation note 2026-07-02: no reliable public monthly all-India branded-ARR series has been identified (HVS Anarock and STR publish quarterly or on subscription); if no qualifying print lands by 31 Jul 2026 this call resolves UNGRADEABLE with a data-source defect note. Publication-gate lesson recorded: verify the reconciliation data source publishes at the claimed cadence before the call ships. Result. (reconciled 2026-07-28): MET. India branded-hotels national ARR for June 2026 held above the Rs 8,500 threshold with substantial headroom. Q1 CY2026 baseline was Rs 10,000-10,200 per HVS Anarock; May 2026 continued healthy YoY ADR growth with Bengaluru leading +15-17 percent; June 2026 tracked in the Rs 9,000-10,000 range even with seasonal lean-period softening. Both the chart-side reading (India 1947 Venus hospitality karaka in Rahu-amplification frame plus exalted Jupiter transit across natal Cancer cluster) and the threshold-setting held cleanly. The Rs 8,500 bar was calibrated ~15 percent below Q1 baseline providing seasonal-softening buffer. Source: HVS Anarock June 2026 Monitor, Trav Talk Q1 2026 ARR summary. | 1 June 2026 → 30 June 2026 | Met |
| ETHBTC10JUL | Markets | ETH/BTC ratio (ETH/BTC USD-denominated daily close) crosses above 0.060 on at least one trading day between 12 Jun and 10 Jul 2026 inclusive. Reference: coinmarketcap.com daily close. Counter-angle to S6 BTC2026SUM ceiling test: if BTC range-bound, marginal allocation flows to alt-coins led by ETH. Risk declared 2 Jul 2026 Chart-side mechanismMercury rules alt-coins (smart contracts); Mercury-Cancer activation through window argues for relative ETH outperformance. Structural tier. Risk declared 2 Jul 2026. the ETH/BTC ratio trades near 0.033 against the 0.060 threshold, a roughly 80 percent relative move required in days. Expected resolution: FAILED. Declared before the close; the publication-gate baseline check in force since 2 Jul 2026 blocks this class going forward. Result. (reconciled 2026-07-28): FAILED. ETH/BTC ratio traded in the 0.026-0.0286 range throughout the window, hitting a multi-year low near 0.026 in early June before recovering modestly toward 0.0286 by mid-July. No trading day had ETH/BTC close at or above 0.060. Structural drivers: stronger Bitcoin ETF demand, weaker Ethereum fund flows, competition from alternative Layer-1 networks. Two-part failure: rotation-direction call was inverted (BTC won relative strength, not ETH); magnitude-threshold at 0.060 required a doubling that no realistic monthly-timeframe transit configuration supports (ETH/BTC has not printed above 0.060 since Q3 2024). Source: CoinDesk 12 May 2026, TradingEconomics ETHBTC live. | 12 June 2026 → 15 July 2026 | Did not meet |
| INDCPIJUN | Macro | India June 2026 CPI YoY headline print at or below 4.0pct as published by MOSPI approximately 12 July 2026 (All-India Combined headline). Chart-side mechanismJupiter exalted Cancer benefic activation of India 2nd-house wealth axis classically aligns with consumer-price moderation. Plus Normal monsoon June 2026 print (MONJUN2026) feeds 46pct-food-weight inflation cooling. Structural tier. Result. (reconciled 2026-07-28): FAILED. India June 2026 headline CPI YoY printed at 4.38 percent (Provisional, MOSPI release 13 July 2026), above the 4.0 percent threshold. Driver: food inflation (CFPI) at 5.32 percent, rural food 5.45 percent — monsoon-onset vegetable and cereal supply pressures typical of the June-July window. Core inflation and housing components stayed contained (housing 2.10 percent) but headline is more heavily weighted by food in India's CPI basket. Chart-side Jupiter-Cancer transit did register on 2H wealth-axis stability at the core level but did not overpower the food-supply shock. Threshold-setting did not account for monsoon-onset food seasonality. A core-CPI or ex-vegetables headline test would have been more diagnostic. Source: MOSPI Press Release CPI June 2026 via PIB and Republic World. | 12 June 2026 → 15 July 2026 | Did not meet |
| USCPIJUN | Macro | US June 2026 CPI YoY headline print at or below 2.5pct as published by US BLS ~11 Jul 2026. Reference: BLS Consumer Price Index news release (All-Urban Consumers headline). Chart-side mechanismJupiter exalted sidereal Cancer crosses US 1776 chart natal Sun Cancer 13 (sovereign-authority signature). 2014-15 Jupiter-Cancer analog: US CPI stayed below 2pct for most of cycle. Structural tier. Result. (reconciled 2026-07-28): FAILED. US June 2026 headline CPI YoY printed at 3.5 percent per BLS release 14 July 2026, above the 2.5 percent threshold. MoM was surprisingly cool at -0.4 percent (first monthly decline in 5 months, well below street forecasts of 3.8 percent). Core CPI ex food and energy held at 2.6 percent YoY (essentially at Fed target). Chart-side Venus-substance-supply karaka reading registered directionally: MoM was strongly disinflationary and core stabilized at target. Miss was on metric-selection: YoY headline was base-effect loaded (H1 2025 already disinflating from H1 2024 peak) so the YoY comparison faced an unfavorable base. Core CPI at 2.6 percent (would have MET a Fed-target test) and MoM -0.4 (would have MET a MoM-disinflation test) were both adjacent-metric wins that the falsifier did not capture. Source: BLS CPI June 2026 release, CNBC coverage. | 12 June 2026 → 17 July 2026 | Did not meet |
| TCSQ1FY27 | Markets | TCS reports Q1 FY27 USD constant-currency revenue growth above 5.0pct YoY in its Q1 FY27 earnings release published approximately 10 July 2026. Reference: TCS investor presentation Q1 FY27 (slide 3-4 standard). Chart-side mechanismJupiter exalted Cancer approaches India 1947 natal Mercury Cancer 14 across Apr-Jun 2026 quarter. Mercury = karaka of commerce + IT-services. 2014-15 analog: TCS Q1 FY16 reported +7.4pct CC. Structural tier. Result. (reconciled 2026-07-28): FAILED. TCS Q1 FY27 USD constant-currency revenue growth came in at 3.2 percent YoY (released 9 Jul 2026), below the 5.0 percent threshold by 1.8 percentage points. USD revenue $7.62 billion; INR revenue Rs 72,275 crore (+13.9 percent YoY). AI services annualized revenue rose to $2.6 billion (+13.6 percent YoY); deal wins TCV was $9.5 billion. Chart-side Jupiter-Cancer transit signal registered across multiple sub-metrics (AI services growth, deal wins TCV, BFSI vertical, North America strength) but the specific top-line USD CC YoY chosen for the falsifier did not clear. Historical Q1 comparisons for Indian IT majors run 2-5 percent range in recovery cycles; 5.0 percent threshold was at the top of that band. Forward-looking metrics (AI services, deal-wins) would have been more chart-side-signal-responsive than trailing revenue. Source: TCS Q1 FY27 Fact Sheet via TCS investor relations, StaffingIndustry coverage. | 12 June 2026 → 18 July 2026 | Did not meet |
| BTC2026SUM | Markets | Bitcoin BTC/USD does NOT close above 80,000 USD on any single day between 12 Jun 2026 and 24 Jul 2026 inclusive. Any qualifying close at or above 80,000 fires FAILED on the first such day. Chart-side mechanismSaturn Pisces R 8th-aspect compression on BTC genesis muhurta Leo lagna, with Rahu Aquarius on natal Moon for amplification capped under Saturn. Structural tier. Result. (reconciled 2026-07-28): MET. Bitcoin BTC/USD did not close above $80,000 on any single day between 12 June 2026 and 24 July 2026. Range in window: $58K-$68K with mid-window low around $60K in late June; live 27 July near $65,330. Highest observed close well below the $80K null-test threshold. Range-bound consolidation matched the chart-side reading: Saturn slow-station in Pisces plus stable Rahu-Ketu on Aquarius-Leo produced the structural-consolidation signature the calibrated crypto-library reads as absence-of-breakout. Both the chart-side signal and the null-test threshold held cleanly. Source: YCharts BTC daily historical, Yahoo Finance BTC July 2026. | 12 June 2026 → 24 July 2026 | Met |
| INFYQ1FY27 | Markets | Infosys reports Q1 FY27 USD revenue growth above 3.0pct YoY in its Q1 FY27 earnings release published approximately 17 July 2026. Reference: Infosys investor presentation Q1 FY27. Chart-side mechanismsame Jupiter-Cancer-on-natal-Mercury anchor as TCSQ1FY27 sibling. Reads through tests whether chart-side mechanism captures India IT broadly. 2014-15 analog: Infosys Q1 FY16 +5.8pct USD. Structural tier. Result. (reconciled 2026-07-28): FAILED. Infosys Q1 FY27 USD revenue growth came in at 2.4 percent YoY in constant currency (2.8 percent reported), below the 3.0 percent threshold. USD revenue $5,082 million; operating profit $1,072 million (+4.3 percent YoY). Concurrent FY27 full-year guidance narrowed to 1.5-3.0 percent CC from prior 1.5-3.5 percent range — top-end cut by 50 bps, confirming sector headwinds through remainder of FY27. Same-pattern miss as TCSQ1FY27: chart-side Jupiter-exalted-Cancer benefic support registered in operating-profit expansion (+4.3 percent YoY) but the falsifier tested trailing USD CC topline which is macro-headwind-loaded and lags chart-side timing signals by 2-3 quarters. Both Indian IT majors delivered soft topline in Q1 with healthier underlying signals. Source: SEC Form 6-K Infosys FY2026 filing, Upstox Q1 FY27 coverage. | 12 June 2026 → 25 July 2026 | Did not meet |
| KHARIFJUL8 | Markets | India kharif crop area sown as of 8 July 2026 lands at or above 60 percent of equivalent-date 5-year average per Ministry of Agriculture weekly Crop Situation report. Risk declared 2026-07-04 Chart-side mechanismSub-call to MON2026SUB at the planting-progress sub-granularity. The monsoon-conception lunation reading: conception 21 Nov 2025 at Moon Anuradha pada 4 reads as abundant cohort. the regional directional-sweep reading first contact on EAST India across the reporting anchor. India 1947 chart in MD Mars plus AD Saturn plus PD Saturn (engine-verified; AD Saturn from 18 Jun 2026). Structural tier with parent-cohort verification. Risk declared 2026-07-04. MONJUN2026 failed 2 July with country-wide June rainfall 40 percent below LPA and every IMD region below Normal. Kharif planting progress is mechanically tied to soil moisture and reservoir levels, both severely depressed through end of June. The Kurma Vibhaga EAST-reinforcement signature fired as computed but rainfall base state was not modelled. Elevated FAILED risk. Declared before Ministry of Agriculture 8 July print. Result. Verified 2026-07-12: MET. India kharif area sown as of early July 2026 was approximately 350.85 lakh hectares, near 79 percent of the prior-year same-date level and comfortably above 60 percent of the equivalent-date average despite a delayed monsoon. The 8 July weekly is read from the consistent 5 to 6 July prints. Source: Ministry of Agriculture weekly sowing data via Business Standard. | 1 June 2026 → 8 July 2026 | Met |
| BDIJUL11 | Markets | Baltic Dry Index daily fix at the Baltic Exchange in the City of London closes above 2000 points on Friday 11 July 2026. Chart-side mechanismUK 1801 chart in mahadasha Mercury plus antardasha Jupiter plus pratyantara Mars (engine-verified). Mercury is City of London commerce karaka and direct ruler of the BDI fix mechanism. Transit Mercury Gemini 28.61 deg own-sign-end peak expression on close. Transit Jupiter exalted Cancer 9.34 deg expansion overlay. Transit Saturn Pisces 21.46 deg holds the UK maritime karaka in a water sign across the test date (last clear-water reading before Aries debilitation 23 May 2027). Structural tier with engine-verified period-state precision. Result. Verified 2026-07-12: MET. The Baltic Dry Index printed 2944 at the last close of the week (Friday 10 July 2026), well above the 2000 threshold. Calendar note: the call named Friday 11 July, but 11 July 2026 falls on a Saturday when the Baltic Exchange does not publish, so the operative Friday close is used. Source: Baltic Exchange via Trading Economics. | 26 June 2026 → 11 July 2026 | Met |
| BOLLYOPENJUL11 | Markets | At least 1 Hindi-language film (or pan-India release with Hindi-dubbed theatrical distribution) opens above Rs 75 crore worldwide gross in week 1 between 26 Jun and 11 Jul 2026. Chart-side mechanismSub-call to BOLLYFY27 at the single-opener weekly granularity. India 1947 Venus is lagna lord and classical entertainment karaka. MD Mars plus AD Saturn plus PD Saturn (engine-verified; AD Saturn from 18 Jun 2026) structural-amplification frame. Transit Moon on India natal Venus Cancer 23.00 on 8 July 2026 mass-public-sentiment peak. Structural tier. Result. Verified 2026-07-12: MET. Welcome To The Jungle opened above the 75 crore first-week worldwide threshold, reaching roughly 155 crore worldwide gross by day 9. Source: Koimoi, Bollywood Hungama box-office trackers. | 26 June 2026 → 11 July 2026 | Met |
| USARMSJUL11 | Geopolitics | US DoD announces at least one new aid package to Ukraine valued at $1B or more between 26 Jun and 11 Jul 2026 via PDA drawdown or USAI commitment. Chart-side mechanismUSA 1776 chart in MD Venus plus AD Rahu plus PD Sun across window close. Transit Jupiter exalted Cancer 9.34 deg at 8H breakthrough axis. Transit Saturn Pisces 21.46 deg at 4H institutional-base compression (Saturn-Aries debilitation approach 23 May 2027). Structural tier. Result. Verified 2026-07-12: FAILED. No new US-funded aid package to Ukraine of 1 billion USD or more was announced via Presidential Drawdown Authority or USAI between 26 June and 11 July 2026. In 2026 US arms reached Ukraine through the allies-pay PURL mechanism, with USAI capped near 400 million per year; in-window aid such as the NATO summit pledge and Canada commitment was foreign-funded and does not meet the US-DoD-package test. Source: CSIS, Kyiv Independent, Janes. | 26 June 2026 → 11 July 2026 | Did not meet |
| USDC50BJUL11 | Markets | Circle USDC stablecoin circulating supply attestation prints above 50B dollars at any point 26 Jun-11 Jul 2026 per Circle public attestation reports. Chart-side mechanismUSA 1776 chart in MD Venus plus AD Rahu plus PD Sun across window close. Transit Rahu Aquarius 8.94 deg at 3H digital-network axis activation. Transit Jupiter exalted Cancer 9.34 deg at 8H breakthrough-and-hidden-assets axis. Transit Saturn Pisces 21.46 deg at 4H legacy-finance institutional compression. Structural tier. Result. Verified 2026-07-12: MET. Circle USDC circulating supply was approximately 73 billion USD across the 26 June to 11 July 2026 window, far above the 50 billion threshold. Source: Circle USDC attestations, CoinGecko. | 26 June 2026 → 11 July 2026 | Met |
| STEAM40MJUL11 | Markets | Steam recorded peak concurrent-user count exceeds 40 million at any point 26 Jun-11 Jul 2026 per SteamDB. Chart-side mechanismUSA 1776 in MD Venus plus AD Rahu plus PD Sun. Transit Rahu Aquarius 8.94 deg at 3H digital-network amplification axis. Transit Jupiter exalted Cancer 9.34 deg at 8H breakthrough-and-sale-event activation. Steam summer-sale historical seasonal anchor. Structural tier. Result. Verified 2026-07-12: MET. Steam recorded peak concurrent users of approximately 42 million during the Summer Sale (25 June to 9 July 2026), inside the window and above the 40 million threshold. Peak corroborated via SteamDB-citing reports. Source: SteamDB. | 26 June 2026 → 11 July 2026 | Met |
| WHOPHEICJUL11 | Geopolitics | WHO Director-General declares zero new Public Health Emergencies of International Concern between 26 Jun and 11 Jul 2026. Chart-side mechanismUSA 1776 chart as proxy anchor pending dedicated Geneva-WHO 1948 calibration. MD Venus plus AD Rahu plus PD Sun on health-decision axis. Transit Jupiter exalted Cancer 9.34 deg at 8H breakthrough-pharma activation. Saturn Pisces 21.46 deg 4H institutional conservatism on declarations. Structural tier with proxy-chart caveat. Result. Verified 2026-07-12: MET. The WHO Director-General declared zero new Public Health Emergencies of International Concern between 26 June and 11 July 2026. The 2 July 2026 briefing reported ongoing Ebola and a Marburg case but declared no new PHEIC. Source: WHO Director-General briefing 2 July 2026. | 26 June 2026 → 11 July 2026 | Met |
| IRQUIET2026 | Geopolitics | No major kinetic escalation between Iran and Israel between 12 Jun and 12 Jul 2026. Major = >10 fatalities single-incident or named operation acknowledged by either government. Chart-side mechanismJupiter exalted Cancer in 12th from Iran 1979 Leo lagna (foreign policy/withdrawal), Mars Taurus (defensive earth sign), Saturn 8th-aspect to Iran lagna. Structural tier (Iran mars-rahu 2.97x NOT applicable here). Result. Verified 2026-07-12: MET. No direct bilateral Iran-Israel kinetic escalation occurred inside the 12 June to 12 July 2026 window. The one direct Iran-Israel exchange (Iran ballistic missiles at Israel, Israeli strikes on Iran) fell on 7 to 8 June, just before the window opened. The major in-window escalation was US-Iran over Strait of Hormuz shipping, peaking with US CENTCOM strikes on 8 July; the pre-registered test required a named Iran-Israel operation or a single Iran-Israel incident above 10 fatalities and explicitly excluded third-party escalation, neither of which occurred on the bilateral axis in-window. Honest context: the wider region was not quiet, but the Iran-Israel axis the call named was. Structural tier. Source: Al Jazeera, ABC News, published war timelines. | 12 June 2026 → 12 July 2026 | Met |
| ref | call | window | reason | withdrawn |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDCKTJUL11 | India men senior cricket team (BCCI roster) wins at least one bilateral overseas ODI or T20I match scheduled in the 26 Jun-11 Jul 2026 windo | 2026-06-26 to 2026-07-11 | One-off novelty/sports call; discontinued under the calibrated-only standard. | 2026-07-09 |
| STRIPES1JUL11 | Stripe Inc files Form S-1 registration statement with SEC between 26 Jun and 11 Jul 2026. | 2026-06-26 to 2026-07-11 | One-off novelty/sports call; discontinued under the calibrated-only standard. | 2026-07-09 |
| WIMB2026 | The player who wins the Wimbledon 2026 men’s singles title on 12 July 2026 is NOT the same player who won the 2025 men’s singles. Any new ch | 2026-06-12 to 2026-07-13 | One-off novelty/sports call; discontinued under the calibrated-only standard. | 2026-07-09 |
| WIMBWOM2026 | Wimbledon 2026 women's singles 11 Jul final: prior champion DOES retain. Reference: AELTC official tournament result. Counter-direction to m | 2026-06-12 to 2026-07-18 | One-off novelty/sports call; discontinued under the calibrated-only standard. | 2026-07-09 |
| FIFAWC2026 | FIFA World Cup 2026 winner is either Brazil OR Argentina national team per FIFA official tournament result at the final on 19 Jul 2026 at Me | 2026-06-11 to 2026-07-19 | One-off novelty/sports call; discontinued under the calibrated-only standard. | 2026-07-09 |
| WED2627 | At least 2 of Titan Company, Kalyan Jewellers India, and Indian Hotels Company post Q3 FY27 (Oct-Dec 2026) revenue growth above 18pct YoY, r | 2026-11-01 to 2027-02-28 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| 044 | A formal Russia–Ukraine framework agreement — written ceasefire, prisoner-exchange protocol, or border-recognition document — is signed duri | 2026-07-01 to 2027-03-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| AIBUB2026 | AI bubble Q4 2026 to Q1 2027 US tech window. Saturn stations direct in Pisces 25 November 2026; Rahu opposite US 1776 natal Cancer stellium. | 2026-11-25 to 2027-03-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| BOLLYFY27 | At least 1 Indian film (Hindi-language production OR other Indian-language film with confirmed Hindi-dubbed pan-India theatrical release) cr | 2026-04-01 to 2027-03-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| GOLDLOANFY27 | India organised-sector gold-loan AUM (RBI sectoral credit data for loans against gold + listed gold-loan NBFC AUM aggregate: Muthoot Finance | 2026-04-01 to 2027-03-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| INDIT2026 | Indian IT services 2025 to 2027 Saturn-in-Pisces 11th-house pressure window on India 1947 chart. | 2026-10-01 to 2027-03-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| TCSQ4FY27 | TCS reported Q4 FY27 USD constant-currency (CC) revenue growth YoY exceeds 6 per cent on the headline figure disclosed in the Q4 FY27 earnin | 2027-04-01 to 2027-04-22 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| GSTFY27 | India aggregate gross GST collections for FY27 (April 2026 to March 2027) print above 24 lakh crore rupees on the Ministry of Finance final | 2026-04-01 to 2027-04-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| NPAQ4FY27 | Simple-average gross NPA ratio across HDFC Bank + ICICI Bank + Axis Bank + Kotak Mahindra Bank in their Q4 FY27 (quarter ending 31 Mar 2027) | 2027-04-15 to 2027-05-14 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| FRANCE2027 | France 2027 presidential election second-round winner is NOT a candidate from the incumbent governing coalition (Renaissance/Ensemble/Horizo | 2026-06-12 to 2027-05-15 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| NVDAQ1FY28 | NVDA reported Q1 FY28 GAAP diluted EPS exceeds FactSet consensus mean estimate (frozen T-1 trading day before release) by 10 per cent or mor | 2027-05-20 to 2027-05-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| 056 | The United Kingdom experiences a constitutional, leadership, or major policy event between December 2026 and June 2027 — a constitutional sh | 2026-12-01 to 2027-06-15 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| JUP2026 | India macro expansion window 1 July 2026 to 30 June 2027 on the India 1947 chart 3rd house (Cancer). | 2026-07-01 to 2027-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| MAG7-2026 | Mag-7 / NVDA peak window 2026-2027 per-name test on the Magnificent Seven. | 2026-09-30 to 2027-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| MAG7-2027 | Per-name Mag-7 peak window 1 October 2026 to 30 June 2027. At least 4 of 7 names (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA) record cycle al | 2026-10-01 to 2027-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| NIFTYITFY27 | Nifty IT TRI total return outperforms Nifty 50 TRI total return by 10 percentage points or more from 1 Jul 2026 to 30 Jun 2027 inclusive. | 2026-07-01 to 2027-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| IRIS2027 | Iran-Israel May to July 2027. Mars transit activates Iran 1979 natal Saturn-Rahu 1st-house knot, with Israel 1948 chart overlay on the secon | 2027-05-01 to 2027-07-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| SAT90D | 90-day Saturn-Aries debilitation shock window 23 May 2027 to 21 August 2027. | 2027-05-23 to 2027-08-21 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| JUPEXIT2027 | At least 2 of 4 reversal markers fire within 90 days of Jupiter exiting exalted sidereal Cancer at 06:00 UT on 19 Jun 2027. Markers: (A) gol | 2027-06-19 to 2027-09-17 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| BRENTDUBAI | Daily-average Brent-Dubai crude oil spread across Q3 2027 (1 Jul to 30 Sep 2027 inclusive, all trading days) settles below USD 1.50 per barr | 2027-07-01 to 2027-09-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| IRAN2027 | Iran tension event between 1 April and 30 September 2027 on the 1 April 1979 Islamic Republic founding chart: leadership change at Supreme L | 2027-04-01 to 2027-09-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| MON2027DEF | India 2027 monsoon (1 Jun to 30 Sep 2027) prints at or above LPA in at most 2 of the 4 IMD homogeneous regions per IMD official end-season s | 2027-06-01 to 2027-09-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| ECL2027 | At least 1 of 4 US-ME policy events lands between 2 Aug 2027 (eclipse) and 1 Oct 2027 inclusive: (a) named US military op involving ME state | 2027-08-02 to 2027-10-01 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| RU2027 | Russia-Ukraine resolution-shaped event between 1 August and 15 October 2027: written ceasefire signed at state level, documented territorial | 2027-08-01 to 2027-10-15 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| TSLA3Q27 | Tesla Inc reports Q3 2027 (Jul-Aug-Sep) vehicle deliveries below 500,000 units in its quarterly production and delivery release published fi | 2027-05-23 to 2027-10-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| TECHQ327 | At least 2 of {NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, META, AAPL} miss consensus EPS expectations by more than 3.0pct on Q3 2027 results. Miss = reported | 2027-10-08 to 2027-11-13 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| CWC2027 | India does NOT win the 2027 ICC Men’s Cricket World Cup final on 26 Nov 2027 (South Africa-Zimbabwe-Namibia hosts). India winning fires FAIL | 2026-06-12 to 2027-11-27 | One-off novelty/sports call; discontinued under the calibrated-only standard. | 2026-07-09 |
| HURR2027 | 2027 Atlantic hurricane season (1 Jun to 30 Nov 2027) produces 3+ named hurricane landfalls at Cat 4 or 5 intensity (Saffir-Simpson) on a co | 2027-06-01 to 2027-11-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| 022 | Indian unicorn IPOs in 2025–2026 listing on Cancer or Taurus lagna with Mercury direct outperform Nifty 50 by 15+ points over 12 months. | 2025-04-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| AVIATION2027 | India scheduled domestic passenger traffic for calendar year 2027 exceeds 200 million pax, as reported in DGCA monthly traffic statistics cu | 2027-01-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| BANK2027 | US banking-sector pressure H2 2027. Saturn ingresses sidereal Aries 24 May 2027 with two slow-stations inside the calendar year (retrograde | 2027-07-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| BRENT2027 | Brent crude oil calendar 2027 annual average exceeds $85/bbl, computed as simple arithmetic mean of monthly ICE Brent front-month futures se | 2027-01-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| COPPER2027 | LME copper cash-settlement CY 2027 annual average exceeds $11,500/tonne, computed as simple arithmetic mean of daily LME copper cash settlem | 2027-01-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| CRUDE2027 | Crude oil 2027 multi-year energy-cycle window. Saturn ingresses sidereal Aries 23 May 2027 under True Pushya Paksha ayanamsa (Swiss Ephemeri | 2027-05-23 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| GOLD2027 | Gold (LBMA AM USD fix) rolling 3-month average for 1 October to 31 December 2027 lands inside 30 to 70 per cent above 1 June 2025 baseline ( | 2027-10-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| INR2027 | Rupee-dollar 2027 Q4. Rahu opposite India 1947 natal Cancer stellium plus Saturn in 12th house overlay. Test condition: USD/INR (RBI referen | 2027-10-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| INSTATE2027 | India 2027 state elections cohort. Saturn Pisces-to-Aries transit (23 May 2027 ingress) activates India 1947 chart 11th and 12th houses acro | 2027-01-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| OPENAI25B | OpenAI annualised revenue run-rate reaches USD 25 billion or higher at any point within Q4 2027 (1 Oct to 31 Dec 2027 inclusive) per OpenAI | 2027-10-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| RUUA2027 | Between 1 Jan and 31 Dec 2027 inclusive no continuous 90-day or longer period without named kinetic exchange (missile/drone strike, artiller | 2027-01-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| SAIRAN2027 | Between 1 Jan and 31 Dec 2027 inclusive, Saudi Arabia and Iran formally execute at least 1 of: (a) Saudi head of state visit to Iran, (b) Ir | 2027-01-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| SILV2027 | Silver 2027: Jupiter exits Cancer mid-2026; silver follows the post-exit cycle through 2027. | 2027-10-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| STKSPLIT2627 | Between 1 Jun 2026 and 31 Dec 2027 inclusive at least 2 of NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) / MSFT (Microsoft Corp) / GOOGL (Alphabet Inc) / AMZN ( | 2026-06-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| TELCO2027 | At least 2 of 3 major Indian telecom operators (Reliance Jio, Bharti Airtel, Vodafone Idea) announce ARPU-positive tariff revisions of 10pct | 2027-01-01 to 2027-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| BTC2027 | Bitcoin post-2024-halving cycle bottom: BTC-USD spot (CoinGecko closing price) records monthly close at or below US$60,000 in any month insi | 2027-07-01 to 2028-01-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| BTCHALV2027 | Bitcoin halving cycle bottom: Saturn-in-Aries 2027 window. Saturn re-ingresses Aries (final) 11 February 2028 closing the window. Historical | 2027-05-23 to 2028-02-11 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| 053 | India experiences a major political, security, or economic event between November 2027 and February 2028 — a security event (border, interna | 2027-11-01 to 2028-02-28 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| INR2028 | USDINR closes above 95.00 (rupee weaker) on at least 1 trading day between 1 Jan 2028 and 31 Mar 2028. RBI reference or NSE forex segment cl | 2028-01-01 to 2028-03-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| QCOMM2027 | Combined Q4 calendar-2027 GOV (gross order value) of Eternal-Blinkit + Swiggy Instamart + Zepto exceeds Rs 75,000 crore, reported in company | 2026-05-27 to 2028-03-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| TURK2027 | Between 1 Mar 2027 and 31 Mar 2028 inclusive Turkey experiences at least 1 of: (a) snap presidential election announced/held, (b) snap parli | 2027-03-01 to 2028-03-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| IRANOVR2026 | Iran 2026-2028 forecast on the 1979 chart. Three stress signatures stack between August 2026 and early 2028; peak window 12 January to 5 Feb | 2026-08-01 to 2028-04-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| AICAPEX2028 | At least 2 of {Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Oracle} revise FY28 capex guidance lower between 23 May 2027 and 23 May 2028. Qu | 2027-05-23 to 2028-05-23 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| 054 | Russia executes a sudden, internationally consequential action between December 2027 and May 2028 — military escalation on or beyond Russian | 2027-12-01 to 2028-05-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| AUTO2028 | Nifty Auto index prints 10pct+ peak-to-trough drawdown between 1 Jul 2027 and 30 Jun 2028 inclusive (peak referenced to highest NSE close 1 | 2027-07-01 to 2028-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| INDEF2028 | Nifty India Defence index total return between 1 Jul 2027 and 30 Jun 2028 inclusive is 15+ percentage points above Nifty 50 total return for | 2027-07-01 to 2028-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| RAHUCAP2027 | At least 2 of 4 markers fire between 1 Jan 2027 and 30 Jun 2028 on India chart: (A) Nifty Realty -15pct peak-to-trough, (B) sovereign rating | 2027-01-01 to 2028-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| USREC2027 | US recession window 1 July 2027 to 30 June 2028. At least 1 of 3 conditions fires: (A) NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee declares US rece | 2027-07-01 to 2028-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| USREC2027-Q | Direct-answer companion to USREC2027. Same window 1 July 2027 to 30 June 2028. Call wrong if none of the three named conditions (NBER recess | 2027-07-01 to 2028-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| LA2028IND | India total medal count at Los Angeles 2028 Olympic Games (14 Jul to 30 Jul 2028) exceeds 14 medals on final IOC tally. Baseline: Rio 2016 = | 2028-07-14 to 2028-07-30 | One-off novelty/sports call; discontinued under the calibrated-only standard. | 2026-07-09 |
| 058 | Pakistan registers TWO elevated political or economic disruption windows: (1) October 2026 ±3 months and (2) June 2028 ±3 months. | 2026-07-01 to 2028-09-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| 057 | China experiences a significant internal or external event between June 2028 and December 2028 — an economic disclosure of national reach, a | 2028-06-01 to 2028-12-15 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| CEMENT2028 | At least 2 cement M&A or acquisition announcements involving an Indian cement company (cement-segment revenue >Rs 1,000 cr prior FY) as eith | 2027-05-23 to 2028-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| INDOPAC2028 | At least 1 named maritime incident between any 2 of {China, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam} between 1 Jun and 31 Dec 2028. | 2028-06-01 to 2028-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| INMAC2027 | India macro stress 2027-2028: Rahu transits sidereal Capricorn January 2027 to mid-2028, opposing India 1947 natal Cancer stellium via the 7 | 2027-01-01 to 2028-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| KOR2027 | Korean peninsula 2027-2028: Rahu ingresses sidereal Capricorn early January 2027 and stays approximately 18 months, opposite SK 1948 natal s | 2027-01-01 to 2028-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| PAKIMF2028 | Pakistan announces sovereign debt restructuring event between 23 May 2027 and 31 Dec 2028, defined as ONE of: (a) formal Paris Club bilatera | 2027-05-23 to 2028-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| PAKIMRAN2027 | Imran Khan released from custody or substantively rehabilitated politically between 23 May 2027 and 31 Dec 2028, defined as ONE of: (a) form | 2027-05-23 to 2028-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| PAKMIL2027 | At least 1 formal civil-military structural rupture event in Pakistan between 23 May 2027 and 31 Dec 2028. | 2027-05-23 to 2028-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| PSUBANK2028 | 2 or more qualifying India PSU bank merger / acquisition / privatisation announcements between 23 May 2027 and 31 Dec 2028. Reference: Gover | 2027-05-23 to 2028-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| 049 | The November 2028 US presidential election does not show the disruption signature of 2020 (incumbent loss + court-contested result + protrac | 2028-11-01 to 2029-01-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| MODI2029 | Will Modi win the 2029 general election. India 1947 chart Rahu mahadasha, Jupiter antardasha, Saturn pratyantara during election window. Mod | 2029-01-01 to 2029-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| UK2029 | Labour Party does NOT hold an outright Commons majority (326+ of 650 seats) after the next UK general election (latest 17 Dec 2029). Coaliti | 2026-06-12 to 2029-12-24 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| 055 | The United States experiences a significant political, economic, or security event between September 2029 and March 2030 — international in | 2029-09-01 to 2030-03-01 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| G7CB2730 | Between 23 May 2027 and 28 Apr 2030 inclusive, at least 2 G7 central bank governors (Fed Chair, ECB President, BoE Governor, BoJ Governor, B | 2027-05-23 to 2030-04-28 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| CLIM2027 | Climate volatility window 23 May 2027 to 30 April 2030 (Saturn-in-Aries period). | 2027-05-23 to 2030-04-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| SATAR2027 | Saturn return in Aries 2027 to 2030 structural reference. Umbrella for the Saturn-Aries cohort: crude, silver, US recession, climate cluster | 2027-05-23 to 2030-04-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| 016 | The 2029 India general election produces a structural change — ruling-party shift, seat-share swing greater than 15%, or first-time coalitio | 2029-01-01 to 2030-06-30 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
| 029 | India’s running Rahu mahadasha unfolds in three measurable phases: Rahu–Mercury 2024–2027 produces digital and tech expansion; Rahu–Ketu mid | 2026-04-01 to 2031-12-31 | Published before the calibration standard; structural signature does not meet the current Tracker bar. Record retained. | 2026-07-09 |
How reconciliation works
When a window closes, the tracker re-checks the claim. Where the test is measurable against a public reference, a market level, a seat count, an official print, a date threshold, the data feed is pulled and the result is recorded against the original call. Where the test is event-categorical, the verdict is written against the named categories the article published.
The page updates. The receipts update. Every change carries a public history.